This edition is sponsored by Connamara Technologies. As event-based trading moves from niche to mainstream, technology is the differentiator. Connamara's EP3 platform gives operators a faster path from idea to a live, regulated market. Read: Guide to Prediction Market Technology →
A big week for the category. Washington drew a clearer line on sports contracts, integrity moved to center stage, the two leaders pulled apart at new valuations, and the midterms are about to become prediction markets' biggest test yet. First, a note from the conference.
Conference News · 3 min read
A new VIP option brings a complimentary two-night five-star stay, an invite-only networking dinner, a hosted after-dinner suite, curated one-to-one introductions, earlier access to session recordings, and a private year-round channel. Availability is limited and early registration prices will increase shortly.
Regulatory · 4 min read
The CFTC's June 10 proposed rule would formally permit contracts on scores, win-loss results, and season-long stats, while banning single plays, player injuries, and officiating decisions. It is the most comprehensive federal framework the category has seen, and it decides how far prediction markets can move into sportsbook territory. Read more →
Market Integrity · 4 min read
A Bloomberg Businessweek analysis of roughly 34,000 flagged transactions found insider-like activity rising on Polymarket since January. Kalshi answered on August 10 with a multi-year Nasdaq Market Surveillance partnership, an independent audit committee, and a new head of enforcement. Surveillance is becoming a competitive feature. Read more →
Capital · 4 min read
Kalshi set its ninth straight monthly volume record ($17.9 billion notional in May) and holds roughly 73 percent of US share, while Polymarket entered talks on August 4 to raise at a valuation above $20 billion. The two leaders are separating: one on regulated US dominance, one on global scale and mega-capital. Read more →
Elections · 3 min read
An NBC analysis found nearly $200 million already wagered on 2026 midterm outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket, and election officials are raising concerns. The votes are counted just as the industry convenes in Las Vegas, with the credibility of the whole category on the line. Read more →
See who is in the room this November. The Prediction Markets Conference. November 3 to 5, 2026, Las Vegas. A new VIP tier is now available, and early registration prices increase soon. Register now →